NAB FX Strategy Research outlines 3 main scenarios for the UK elections on Thursday and the potential GBP direction for each of them.
1- "A Conservative victory with an increased majority would now see at least a modest relief rally for GBP.“
2- "If the Conservatives secure victory but with no material improvement in their majority, there will be GBP-negative risks come this Friday.”
3- "A hung parliament with no party having an absolute majority cannot be ruled out with any degree of confidence. Were it to eventuate, knee-jerk GBP reaction would almost certainly be negative.“
GBP/USD is trading circa 1.2905 as of writing.
Source: NAB Research
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